Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.004075 0.004281 0.004491 0.004724 0.004974 0.005235 0.005528
2025-10-26 0.003705 0.004007 0.004329 0.004700 0.005118 0.005575 0.006116
2025-11-02 0.003461 0.003815 0.004204 0.004666 0.005202 0.005809 0.006555
2025-11-09 0.003343 0.003744 0.004196 0.004745 0.005400 0.006165 0.007137
2025-11-16 0.003183 0.003611 0.004100 0.004708 0.005449 0.006337 0.007496
2025-11-23 0.003063 0.003514 0.004038 0.004700 0.005526 0.006537 0.007893
2025-11-30 0.002927 0.003389 0.003934 0.004633 0.005520 0.006627 0.008147
2025-12-07 0.002812 0.003283 0.003846 0.004578 0.005522 0.006722 0.008407
2025-12-14 0.002730 0.003214 0.003798 0.004569 0.005580 0.006890 0.008768
2025-12-21 0.002597 0.003076 0.003659 0.004437 0.005468 0.006822 0.008799
2025-12-28 0.002540 0.003030 0.003634 0.004448 0.005545 0.007010 0.009194
2026-01-04 0.002505 0.003010 0.003640 0.004500 0.005675 0.007275 0.009713
2026-01-11 0.002436 0.002946 0.003587 0.004471 0.005697 0.007391 0.010023
2026-01-18 0.002375 0.002888 0.003540 0.004450 0.005726 0.007517 0.010355
2026-01-25 0.002313 0.002828 0.003488 0.004418 0.005738 0.007618 0.010651
2026-02-01 0.002295 0.002826 0.003512 0.004491 0.005900 0.007945 0.011324
2026-02-08 0.002239 0.002770 0.003461 0.004457 0.005906 0.008037 0.011621
2026-02-15 0.002195 0.002730 0.003431 0.004450 0.005951 0.008189 0.012024
2026-02-22 0.002134 0.002664 0.003364 0.004387 0.005909 0.008204 0.012198
2026-03-01 0.002079 0.002606 0.003306 0.004336 0.005882 0.008240 0.012407
2026-03-08 0.002043 0.002572 0.003278 0.004328 0.005920 0.008380 0.012805
2026-03-15 0.001968 0.002484 0.003174 0.004205 0.005776 0.008221 0.012660
2026-03-22 0.001942 0.002461 0.003162 0.004216 0.005840 0.008401 0.013137